Description: 1. This tool provides various measures of the relative severity of forecast precipitation events for the globe for 1 to 6 days in advance by comparing the current forecast amounts with those made over a 25 year period (1979 to 2004). 2. The tool also provides probabilistic seasonal forecasts of precipitation for the globe, including "predictions in context" (PiC) maps which show regions of the globe which have experienced unusually wet or dry conditions, and where the seasonal forecast indicates an enhanced probability for the continuation or reversal of these conditions in the coming season. 3. A map of climatological monthly precipitation is provided as a reference indicating "normal" precipitation totals for each month of the year. 4. Population and poverty maps are also provided to allow for the examination of the relative exposure to weather events and seasonal precipitation fluctuations.

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